MN Gov. Race Polls – Pagan vs General Population

Two weeks ago PNC-Minnesota posted a poll and invited Pagans to cast their vote for the next Governor of Minnesota.  Before we reveal the results, let’s look at how the candidates are doing when the general voting population of Minnesota is consulted.

According to Real Clear Politics, Mark Dayton (D) is in the lead, but by a slim margin.  RCP averages several polls together to arrive at a composite score.  They currently have Dayton at 39%, Emmer (R) at 34%, and Horner (I) at just 15% – with 22% of of those questioned still undecided.  An interesting thing to note is that the two polls conducted by national pollsters have Emmer either ahead of Dayton or put the two candidates within the margin of error.  The two polls done local newspapers have Dayton ahead by 9 to 11 points.   The question becomes, is this race closer than the RCP composite or are the local newspaper polls correct that this is a runaway for Dayton?

Let’s turn now to the results from the (totally unscientific) PNC-Minnesota poll.

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